Thursday, October 20, 2016

NFL Week 7

After an interesting NFL Sunday that featured the return of Colin Kaepernick and an unconventional sideline proposal, we turn the page to Week 7. Overall, the slate looks relatively bleak aside from a primetime divisional matchup between Arizona and Seattle, but we do get another London game. While the overseas contests haven't been the most aesthetically pleasing since their inception, I'm not going to complain about an NFL game kicking off at 9:30 AM ET.

Chicago @ Green Bay (-9.5) O/U 46
 Alshon Jeffery has a profound plan to solve Chicago's offensive struggles.

New York Giants (-2.5) @ Los Angeles O/U 43.5

After dropping three straight and falling to 2-3, the Giants bounced back against Baltimore thanks to a game-winning Odell Beckham touchdown late in the fourth quarter. The volatile wide receiver proceeded to remove his helmet in the end zone (and chirp a referee), earning him a 15-yard penalty, before proposing to a kicking net. To say Beckham plays with his heart on his sleeve is an understatement. While his antics have already become a distraction, it's easier to look the other way when he puts up 222 yards and two touchdowns.

Baltimore @ New York Jets (PK) O/U 40.5

Here's a live look at Jets fans. I'm not sure anything else needs to be said. 

San Diego @ Atlanta (-6.5) O/U 53.5

Although I wasn't sold on them initially, the Falcons deserve to be recognized in the top tier of the NFC with Minnesota, Dallas and Seattle. Atlanta put together back-to-back impressive performances on the road against elite defenses. As I've mentioned before, the Falcons are a dome team that excels indoors, but the past two weeks showed the offense can travel outdoors and maintain competence. 

New England (-7) @ Pittsburgh O/U 46

Prior to Ben Roethlisberger's knee injury, this matchup was poised to be one of the best regular season games and potentially an AFC Championship preview. Personally I thought the Steelers would be favored by a smidge with a healthy Big Ben, which would indicate he's arguably the most valuable player to his team. A case could be made for Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees, but I'm not sure there is another player that would warrant an eight or nine point swing in the point spread. We've seen enough spot starts from Landry Jones to know he's a run-of-the-mill replacement. While it's much easier said than done, Pittsburgh's game plan should incorporate a heavy dose of Le'Veon Bell in an attempt to control clock and keep Brady off the field.

Seattle @ Arizona (-2) O/U 43.5

After dropping three of their first four, the Cardinals have clawed back to .500 and find themselves just a half-game out of a playoff spot. Arizona's strategy to pivot away from their vertical passing attack in order to feature stud running back David Johnson has paid dividends. Carson Palmer has looked very shaky thus far and Bruce Arians had no choice but to change his offensive approach. Considering the Cardinals were fortunate to face two bottom feeders in as many weeks, I'm curious to see how they respond against a division rival with Super Bowl aspirations.

Houston @ Denver (-7.5) O/U 40.5

Regardless of the comeback he engineered on Sunday night against Indianapolis, Texans fans can't feel good about Brock Osweiler. On the bright side, Lamar Miller looked explosive, rushing for 149 yards and averaging over six yards per carry despite playing from behind for basically the whole game. Fantasy owners finally got the positive touchdown regression they were waiting for as Miller found the end zone twice.

1 comment:

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