Thursday, October 20, 2016

NFL Week 7

After an interesting NFL Sunday that featured the return of Colin Kaepernick and an unconventional sideline proposal, we turn the page to Week 7. Overall, the slate looks relatively bleak aside from a primetime divisional matchup between Arizona and Seattle, but we do get another London game. While the overseas contests haven't been the most aesthetically pleasing since their inception, I'm not going to complain about an NFL game kicking off at 9:30 AM ET.

Chicago @ Green Bay (-9.5) O/U 46
 Alshon Jeffery has a profound plan to solve Chicago's offensive struggles.

New York Giants (-2.5) @ Los Angeles O/U 43.5

After dropping three straight and falling to 2-3, the Giants bounced back against Baltimore thanks to a game-winning Odell Beckham touchdown late in the fourth quarter. The volatile wide receiver proceeded to remove his helmet in the end zone (and chirp a referee), earning him a 15-yard penalty, before proposing to a kicking net. To say Beckham plays with his heart on his sleeve is an understatement. While his antics have already become a distraction, it's easier to look the other way when he puts up 222 yards and two touchdowns.

Baltimore @ New York Jets (PK) O/U 40.5

Here's a live look at Jets fans. I'm not sure anything else needs to be said. 

San Diego @ Atlanta (-6.5) O/U 53.5

Although I wasn't sold on them initially, the Falcons deserve to be recognized in the top tier of the NFC with Minnesota, Dallas and Seattle. Atlanta put together back-to-back impressive performances on the road against elite defenses. As I've mentioned before, the Falcons are a dome team that excels indoors, but the past two weeks showed the offense can travel outdoors and maintain competence. 

New England (-7) @ Pittsburgh O/U 46

Prior to Ben Roethlisberger's knee injury, this matchup was poised to be one of the best regular season games and potentially an AFC Championship preview. Personally I thought the Steelers would be favored by a smidge with a healthy Big Ben, which would indicate he's arguably the most valuable player to his team. A case could be made for Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees, but I'm not sure there is another player that would warrant an eight or nine point swing in the point spread. We've seen enough spot starts from Landry Jones to know he's a run-of-the-mill replacement. While it's much easier said than done, Pittsburgh's game plan should incorporate a heavy dose of Le'Veon Bell in an attempt to control clock and keep Brady off the field.

Seattle @ Arizona (-2) O/U 43.5

After dropping three of their first four, the Cardinals have clawed back to .500 and find themselves just a half-game out of a playoff spot. Arizona's strategy to pivot away from their vertical passing attack in order to feature stud running back David Johnson has paid dividends. Carson Palmer has looked very shaky thus far and Bruce Arians had no choice but to change his offensive approach. Considering the Cardinals were fortunate to face two bottom feeders in as many weeks, I'm curious to see how they respond against a division rival with Super Bowl aspirations.

Houston @ Denver (-7.5) O/U 40.5

Regardless of the comeback he engineered on Sunday night against Indianapolis, Texans fans can't feel good about Brock Osweiler. On the bright side, Lamar Miller looked explosive, rushing for 149 yards and averaging over six yards per carry despite playing from behind for basically the whole game. Fantasy owners finally got the positive touchdown regression they were waiting for as Miller found the end zone twice.

Thursday, October 13, 2016

NFL Week 6 - The Return of Colin Kaepernick

Denver (-3) @ San Diego - O/U 44.5

After blowing a fourth quarter lead for the third time (in five games), the Chargers find themselves at 1-4 with basically no chance to make the playoffs. It sucks to see another year of Philip Rivers in his prime go to waste. Mike McCoy is coaching on borrowed time and it's unlikely he makes it through the season unscathed. The franchise has advanced in the postseason just once since 2008, and it makes you wonder what Rivers' career could have looked like if he was surrounded by more talent, like his 2004 draft class counterparts.

The Broncos defense finally looked mortal last week against Atlanta after wreaking havoc on opposing offenses during the first quarter of the season. The game script got away from them early as Denver was unable to ease their rookie QB into his first career NFL start. Granted this won't be a common occurrence considering the elite status of their defense, but it's reasonable to wonder if this team is capable of playing from behind given their inexperience at the quarterback position. While Trevor Siemian has been solid thus far, he's still in his first season as a starter and it remains to be seen whether he can shoulder the load for an entire season.

Cincinnati @ New England (-9) - O/U 47

Last week I suggested Tom Brady might be rusty coming off his suspension and the Browns-Patriots game would be closer than most expected. Spoiler Alert: That was not the case. Brady came out of the gate with a vengeance and torched the Browns for over 400 yards. The Ugg Sponsor/Golden Boy/Future Hall of Famer basically gave the middle finger to the entire NFL in his 2016 debut.

Baltimore @ New York Giants (-3) - O/U 43.5

Coming into the season, I honestly thought Eli Manning was a dark horse MVP candidate. While Eli missed plenty of throws on Sunday night, it was obvious he didn't trust his offensive line and never got comfortable in the pocket. Second-year left tackle Ereck Flowers had a particularly rough night in pass protection and proceeded to take his frustration out on a reporter follwing the game. After opening the season 2-0, the G-Men have dropped three straight and find themselves occupying the NFC East basement.

San Francisco @ Buffalo (-8) - O/U 44

Colin Kaepernick is back under center for the first time since Week 8 of last year. Although San Francisco didn't have high expectations coming into the season, it's somewhat puzzling why it took so long for Chip Kelly to give his dual-threat quarterback the starting job. Whether it was the contract situation or off-season shoulder surgery, there was a reason why Blaine Gabbert started the team's first five games. With a 1-4 record and Kaepernick's contract restructured, the 49ers have literally nothing to lose by rolling the dice with their embattled signal caller.

Kansas City @ Oakland (-1) - O/U 46.5

On the surface this line seems pretty fishy. Despite being 4-1 and playing at home, the Raiders are barely favored against a 2-2 Chiefs team. Granted this is a divisional game and Kansas City is coming off a bye, but the market clearly doesn't respect the Raiders. By digging a little deeper, we can see that Oakland has the worst defense on a yards-per-play basis and won their four games by a combined 12 points. It's good to see the Raiders become relevant again after years of mediocrity, but the jury is still out on whether this is an upper-echelon team.

Indianapolis @ Houston (-3) - O/U 46.5

After receiving a four-year, $72 million contract (with $37 million guaranteed), Brock Osweiler has looked nothing more than a fringe starter through his first five games in Houston. Luckily for the Texans, they play in the AFC South, which is the worst division in football. After an ugly road loss to Minnesota, this appears to be a nice 'get right' spot at home against a middling Colts team. From top to bottom, Indianapolis has the least talented roster in the league as far as I'm concerned. It's hard to imagine how awful this team would be without Andrew Luck under center. 

P.S. This is a bit off topic, but if you haven't grabbed this exclusive mixtape yet, make sure to stop at the nearest Sam Goody and snag one.

Thursday, October 6, 2016

NFL Week 5

With a quarter of the NFL season already in the books, we have some intriguing story lines entering Week 5.

Tom Brady returns from his infamous suspension. Carolina and Arizona find themselves at 1-3 despite facing off in the NFC Championship game less than a year ago. Carson Wentz looks to continue his undefeated start as a rookie. The list goes on.

Unfortunately I wasn't able to cover every game in time for kickoff tonight, so I provided some general commentary on a handful of teams instead.
Arizona (-3.5) @ San Francisco - O/U 42.5

Need I say more?

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh (-7) - O/U 48

The NFL schedule makers didn't do the Jets any favors. After opening the season against a Cincinnati Bengals team with five straight playoff appearances, Gang Green traveled to Buffalo on a short week to face off with a division rival in Week 2. Add in a trip to Arrowhead before a home bout versus Seattle, and you can see why someone in the league office may have had it out for the Jets. As if it couldn't get any worse, New York currently finds themselves as seven-point underdogs against Pittsburgh with the Arizona Cardinals on deck. Despite Arizona's recent struggles, the Jets will almost certainly be getting points when they travel to Glendale assuming Carson Palmer plays. Todd Bowles and Co. will need a minor miracle to reach the playoffs.
Washington @ Baltimore (-4) - O/U 44

I don't have much to say about this game. Despite a 3-1 record, Baltimore has faced a cupcake schedule and may very well be a fraudulent team. I'm not sure what to make of them at this point.

Tennessee @ Miami (-3.5) - O/U 43
Pretty much Tennessee's season in a nutshell.
New England (-10.5) @ Cleveland - O/U 46.5

This matchup has widely been referred to as the "Tom Brady F-You" game, as the star quarterback returns from a controversial four-game suspension. As crazy as it sounds, I wouldn't be surprised if Cleveland kept this one close. Despite possessing an 0-4 record, the Browns have been competitive in the majority of their games. Considering Brady hasn't practiced with the team since his suspension, it's not inconceivable to think he comes out a bit rusty. Couple that with an unhealthy Gronk and this game could be closer than most expect.

Atlanta @ Denver (-5) - O/U 47

Through four games, the Falcons appear to have the best offense in the league. Julio Jones went absolutely HAM to the tune of 300 receiving yards last week as Atlanta put up 48 points on the defending NFC champs. Sporting a 3-1 record, the Falcons have a two-game cushion in their division and are clear-cut favorites to win the NFC South. With that said, we will find out how good Atlanta is over the next two weeks when they travel to Denver and Seattle. We cannot forget this is a dome team that thrives indoors. I'm interested to see how the offense performs on the road against two elite defenses.

It appears rookie Paxton Lynch is going to start for Denver. While he looked competent in his relief appearance against Tampa Bay, I'd expect a heavy dose of C.J. Anderson with the Broncos looking to play keep away.  

Tampa Bay @ Carolina

I'm just going to come out and say it - the Carolina Panthers are in trouble. Their once-vaunted defense has taken a major step back this year and the running game is pretty much nonexistent. On top of that, Cam Newton is currently in the concussion protocol and head coach Ron Rivera has "no idea" if he will play this week. According to numberFire, the Panthers have a 35% chance to make the playoffs despite going 15-1 in the regular season last year.

Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Return Post

After a two-year hiatus, I'm excited to announce my return to the sports blogging world. I took a break from posting for a variety of reasons which will be addressed shortly.

Considering my forte is professional football, expect the site to consist primarily of NFL coverage and analysis for the foreseeable future. As time elapses and the Super Bowl approaches, I anticipate a transition into college basketball with potentially some NBA sprinkled on the side.

I've always been extremely passionate about sports. Whether it consisted of attending countless Yankee games with my dad as a youngster or being one of the lone Eagles' fans residing in North Jersey, sports were simply just a part of me. However, while I fully support individuals having a passion and/or potentially chasing their dreams, it is important to strike some sort of balance and understand what truly matters in one's life.

Looking back on the past few years, there were several occurrences in which I allowed my affinity for sports to interfere with much more important aspects of my life. For example, during my senior year of college, there were many instances where I sat in the back of the classroom on my laptop, paying no attention to the teacher or lesson whatsoever, creating power ratings and blog posts relating to sports. While there were probably worse things I could have been doing, this approach did not seem like a recipe for success.

As my college career wound down and the real world began to stare me in the face, I came to the conclusion that my passion for sports was not going to result in any job opportunities or sustainable monetary gains. Consequently, I decided to put the sports writing hobby on the back burner and steer my focus towards more meaningful facets of my life (such as getting a job, maturing/growing up, etc.). Long story short, I needed to sort some things out within my personal life, and thus had to give up on my passion for a while. With that said, I've been able to reflect on a lot of stuff over the past few years and I'm ready for another crack at this.

The plan is to write once or twice per week. I haven't settled on a specific format, but most of the posts will consist of general thoughts and commentary. Creating power ratings is not my focus, but as the season progresses and stronger opinions begin to formulate, I may end up implementing them into the blog. After being out of the sports realm for so long, it might take some time to get back into the swing of things, so please bear with me.

I was pleasantly surprised to see there has been a decent amount of viewership despite the extended layoff, so be sure to stay on the lookout for upcoming posts. It feels good to be back!

P.S. I try to steer clear of general news stories that surround the sports sphere, but if a unique situation arises, I may have to weigh in.

Thursday, October 23, 2014

2014 Week 8 NFL Power Ratings

Before diving into the updated power ratings for Week 8, I wanted to debunk a common fallacy that exists amongst the masses in regards to the sports markets.

There is a common misconception amongst the general public that opening numbers are set by Las Vegas oddsmakers. While that was the case twenty years ago, nowadays this assumption could not be further from the truth. Granted there are some exceptions, for example, Johnny Avello from the Wynn releases the world College Football openers for the upcoming week every Sunday, but that's about it.

Generally speaking, Vegas books will either open their own numbers with extremely low limits and wait for offshore outfits like Pinnacle or CRIS (Costa Rica International Sports) to post their numbers so the Vegas shops can mimic them, or they simply won't release a line until the aforementioned organizations put their opinions on the board. In Lehman's terms, "Vegas" does not set the numbers anymore; virtually every opening line originates offshore.

Although there isn't a ton of viewership on the site, I wanted to outline this important point in hopes of educating the average person who may know a thing or two about sports, but not so much about the markets.

P.S. It's in an oddsmaker's best interest to set accurate point spreads and totals, considering their job security and financial well-being basically depends on it. These guys truly have a vested interest in the outcome of games.

So the next time you turn on ESPN and listen to the 'experts' give their predictions, just remember that those talking heads will still collect their annual salary and continue to appear on television, regardless of how wrong their analysis and/or opinions are.

In hindsight it seems like an absolute no-brainer, but I will admit there was a time when I followed ESPN and other mainstream media outlets as if it were the be-all and end-all gospel without paying any attention to point spreads or oddsmakers' opinions. Talk about being young and naive!

The moment I snapped out of this irrational funk and realized mainstream media 'analysts' have essentially no skin in the game when it comes to making predictions or giving insight, the more knowledgeable I started to become regarding sports.

To be frank, oddsmakers know sports better than any of the talking heads on television, as well as the writers amongst the mainstream media, and it's not even close.

Without further ado, here are the Week 8 NFL power ratings...

99.5 Denver
   97 Dallas, Seattle
   96 Indianapolis
95.5 San Diego
   95 Green Bay, Baltimore, San Francisco
   94 Philadelphia
93.5 Detroit, Kansas City
   93 New England, Arizona, Cincinnati
   92 New Orleans, NYG, Miami
   91 Chicago, Carolina, Pittsburgh
90.5 Houston, Buffalo, St. Louis, Cleveland
   90 Washington, NYJ, Atlanta
   89 Minnesota
   88 Tampa Bay
87.5 Tennessee
86.5 Oakland
   86 Jacksonville  

Here's a few quick-hitters...

Denver is the best team in the NFL until I see otherwise. In a league full of teams with visible flaws from top to bottom, the Broncos appear to be the most complete squad. The defense looks to be much better than it was last year, while the offense hasn't seemed to miss a beat. Additionally, Denver has played a much tougher schedule thus far through seven games compared to 2013, which is another reason why I'm a believer.

Albeit the Packers beat Carolina, Chicago and Minnesota by a wide margin, but I don't view any of those teams as above-average, to say the least. I understand that teams can only beat the opponents on their schedule, but so far I don't think the Packers have beaten any good teams. Green Bay's W/L record looks good on the surface, but after digging a little deeper it appears this team is overrated and the offshore opener of New Orleans -1 supports that notion. Granted the Saints at home in a primetime game has been a profitable proposition for years, but the fact that this game opened up above a PK should tell you something about how oddsmakers feel about this matchup.

Quite frankly, Seattle outgained the Rams by nearly 200 yards, and St. Louis needed a miraculous special teams return touchdown, coupled with the ballsiest fake punt I've ever seen in order to defeat the Seahawks. I'm not ready to write off the defending champs yet (although it appears the mainstream media has done just that). The Seahawks have played a difficult schedule thus far and have marquee wins over Green Bay and Denver. It's amazing how quickly the general public gives up on a team as good as Seattle after just a few poor showings. Granted, the Seahawks haven't looked like a top team during the past two weeks, but they are still the favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl as far as I'm concerned.  

Projected Week 8 Point Spreads
San Diego @ Denver (-7.5)
Detroit (-4) @ Atlanta*
Minnesota @ Tampa Bay (-2)
Chicago @ New England (-5.5)
St. Louis @ Kansas City (-6.5)
Seattle (-4) @ Carolina
Buffalo @ NYJ (-2.5)
Miami (-6) @ Jacksonville
Houston (-2.5) @ Tennessee
Baltimore @ Cincinnati (PK)
Philadelphia @ Arizona (-2)
Indianapolis (-3) @ Pittsburgh
Oakland @ Cleveland (-6.5)
Green Bay @ New Orleans (-1)
Washington @ Dallas (-9.5)

*game played in London

Thursday, October 2, 2014

2014 Week 5 NFL Power Ratings (October 2, 2014)

Here are the updated power ratings for Week 5:

 100 Seattle
   99 Denver
   96 Cincinnati
   95 San Francisco, San Diego, Arizona
94.5 Green Bay, Detroit
   94 Indianapolis
93.5 New Orleans, Philadelphia, Baltimore
92.5 Chicago, Dallas
   92 Atlanta, Carolina, New England, Pittsburgh
91.5 Kansas City, NYG
   91 Miami, NYJ
90.5 Houston, Washington, Buffalo
   90 Cleveland, Minnesota
   89 Tennessee
88.5 St. Louis, Tampa Bay
   86 Jacksonville
   85 Oakland

Last week, I mentioned that I didn't want to write off San Francisco after just a few weeks of football. It turns out that was probably a good idea.

While the offensive unit as a whole looked relatively sloppy, the 49ers' defense stepped up and held Philadelphia to zero offensive points. Granted some of that defensive production may be attributed to the Eagles' porous offensive line, but nonetheless, San Francisco deserves credit for their defensive performance on Sunday. Overall, the 49ers surrendered a pick-six, as well as two special teams touchdowns, yet still managed to win the game outright, which is pretty impressive if you ask me.

I don't think there was ever any real animosity between Harbaugh and the players. I'm not exactly sure where those reports came from, but it looks like the media got that one wrong. If there's something to be concerned about in San Francisco, it's the relationship between Harbaugh and general manager, Trent Baalke, as well as Harbaugh's future prospects with the organization.

Admittedly, I came into the season too high on both New England and New Orleans. Through the first three weeks of the season, these teams clearly didn't look as good as I thought they were, but I continued to give them the benefit of the doubt. I don't like to overreact to a couple games of football, but it seems pretty evident to me that the Patriots and Saints aren't as good as I thought coming into the season.

With that said, I still have faith that the Saints will get their act together once they start playing some home games, and ultimately win the NFC South, but nonetheless, this is not the juggernaut that many of us envisioned prior to the start of the season.

New England still has a decent shot at winning the AFC East by default, considering how bad their divisional counterparts are. However, there are serious concerns with the Patriots' roster (specifically on the offensive line) that cannot be ignored.  

Week 5 Projected Point Spreads
Minnesota @ Green Bay (-8)
Chicago @ Carolina (-2)
Cleveland @ Tennessee (PK)
St. Louis @ Philadelphia (-6)
Atlanta @ NYG (-3)
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-9)
Houston @ Dallas (-5)
Buffalo @ Detroit (-7)
Baltimore @ Indianapolis (-3)
Pittsburgh (-6.5) @ Jacksonville 
Arizona @ Denver (-7)
Kansas City @ San Francisco (-6.5)
NYJ @ San Diego (-6)
Cincinnati (PK) @ New England
Seattle (-6.5) @ Washington

Thursday, September 25, 2014

2014 Week 4 NFL Power Ratings (September 25, 2014)

With another interesting week of NFL football in the books, it's time to update the power ratings. 

Note: I decided to change up the scale for a couple of reasons, primarily because I was using '85' as an arbitrary number to represent the best team, which can be confusing and doesn't make much sense. As a result, '100' will be used as the benchmark instead of '85' from here on out.

Just to give a refresher, if Seattle played Cincinnati on a neutral field, the Seahawks would be about a 4-point favorite according to my ratings. By no means is this the end all, be all, but the ratings allow us to compare each team, and ultimately estimate how much better one team is than another.

Here are the updated power ratings for Week 4:

100 Seattle
  99 Denver
  97 New Orleans
  96 Cincinnati, New England
  95 San Francisco, San Diego, Arizona
  94 Philadelphia, Detroit, Indianapolis, Green Bay
  93 Atlanta, Baltimore, Chicago
92.5 Pittsburgh, Carolina
91.5 Washington
  91 NYJ, Kansas City
90.5 Dallas, Houston, Buffalo
  90 NYG, Cleveland, Miami
  89 Minnesota, Tennessee
88.5 St. Louis
87.5 Tampa Bay
  86 Oakland
  85 Jacksonville

To give another example, if New Orleans played Dallas on a neutral field, the Saints would be favored by about 6 points according to the ratings.

Just a few quick hitters on some of the upper-echelon teams...

There wasn't really anything I saw from Seattle that concerned me, aside from maybe falling asleep at the wheel with a 17-3 fourth quarter lead. However, that type of stuff tends to happen in the NFL, and it's not always clear how to interpret these instances. To me, Seattle outplayed Denver for most of the afternoon, but went through the motions with a fairly large lead in the fourth quarter and allowed the Broncos to get back in the game, thanks to a textbook Peyton Manning drive. With that said, Denver showed us they can compete with the Seahawks, which a positive sign moving forward, and I didn't see a reason to upgrade or downgrade either team.

Cincinnati has been impressive this year, there's no doubt about it, but I'm not as high on them as most analysts, writers and math modelers. I believe that too much stock is being put into Cincinnati's home win against Atlanta in Week 2. Despite the Cincy beat down, it cannot be forgotten that Atlanta is a 'dome team,' meaning they are much better when playing at home as opposed to on the road. As a result, we can't confuse the Atlanta team that beat New Orleans and Tampa Bay at home with the Atlanta team that went on the road and got blown out by Cincinnati.

Additionally, Andy Dalton is still the quarterback of this team. Last time I checked, the quarterback is the most important player on the field and usually has the largest impact on the outcome of a football game. In the NFL, you're only as good as your quarterback, and I truly believe that. Hue Jackson appears to be doing a solid job with the offense, which should continue to benefit Dalton, but I'm still not sold on the erratic, fourth-year quarterback. However, I digress. If Cincinnati can win at New England next week, perhaps I will buy in and change my tune on this team.

There's no doubt that San Francisco hasn't looked like an elite team through the first three weeks, but I'm not writing them off yet. While I may be behind the curve with this one, the 49ers are currently installed as 4.5-point favorites in their matchup with the Eagles, which gives me some confidence that San Fran is still an above-average team. The 49ers are having problems specifically with the offensive line and defensive secondary, but with their backs against the wall versus Philadelphia, we should see an improved San Francisco team this week.

Philadelphia may be 3-0, but they are missing three of their five starters on the offensive line, which is a major problem that hasn't been talked about much by the mainstream media. Another concern is that the defense has looked pretty soft thus far, particularly in pass coverage. Kirk Cousins had all day to throw in the pocket, and as a result he lit up the defense for over 400 passing yards. Don't be fooled by the 3-0 record, as Philadelphia is very fortunate to be undefeated and has major issues on the offensive line that cannot be understated.

To their credit, Green Bay's defense didn't play poorly against Detroit last week, but overall I view the unit as soft. Dom Capers has overstayed his welcome in Green Bay as far as I'm concerned. They have trouble getting stops, as well as creating turnovers, which is a recipe for disaster on defense. Additionally, the Packers have a relatively weak offensive line, which has been a problem in both of their losses. It really makes you wonder what this team would look like if Aaron Rodgers wasn't running the show. Rodgers has held that roster together during the last couple of seasons and I would argue that he's the most valuable player to his team, as well as to the point spread.

The Vikings aren't an upper-echelon team, but I wanted to touch on their quarterback situation. It might take a few games to show in Minnesota, but Teddy Bridgewater is an upgrade over Cassel as far as I'm concerned. I wouldn't expect Adrian Peterson to return this season, and as a result, one would think offensive coordinator Norv Turner will start airing the ball out. Handing the ball off to Matt Asiata for three yards isn't going to win games in the NFL. Minnesota needs to become a high-variance team if they want a shot at the playoffs this year and I think Bridgewater will emerge as a competent NFL quarterback as he becomes acclimated to the league.

Week 4 Projected Point Spreads
NYG @ Washington (-4)
Buffalo @ Houston (-3)
Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh (-8 )
Detroit (-1) @ NYJ
Tennessee @ Indianapolis (-7.5)
Carolina @ Baltimore (-3.5)
Green Bay (PK) @ Chicago
Miami (-4) vs. Oakland*
Jacksonville @ San Diego (-12.5)
Atlanta (-2.5) @ Minnesota
Philadelphia @ San Francisco (-4)
New Orleans (-3.5) @ Dallas
New England  (-3) @ Kansas City
*Game being played in London